29 March 2016 – Yellen speech sent market upwards

It was a market in suspense and waiting for the content of FED Chairperson’s speech. The market liked what she said and the indices rocketed upward.

Dow Transportation traded upward in the first hour after market open and went into a mini-range trading. It rocketed upward at 12:20 pm and carried on trading upward for the rest of the day and closed with a bullish Marubozu candle. Pivot momentum has reversed upward. Daily volumetric buying pressure is at 99.9%.

Dow Industrial traded upward for the first hour after market open and then went into range trading till after midday. It continued trading upward for the rest of the day and closed with a bullish Marubozu candle. Pivot momentum remains upward. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 100%.

Russell 2000 traded upward on market open and continued trading upward throughout the day. It closed with a big bullish Marubozu candle. Next target is the 200 SMA. Pivot momentum has reversed upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%.

Nasdaq 100 traded upward on market open and continued trading upward throughout the day. It closed with a big bullish Marubozu candle above its 200 SMA. Pivot momentum reversed upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.8%.

S&P 500 traded upward on market open and continued trading upward throughout the day. It closed with a big bullish Marubozu. Pivot momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.9%. The S&P 500 is in a monthly Squeeze.

Commodities
Oil (/CL) future lost ground and is trading at $38.59 per barrel. Gold (/GC) future is trading down at 1237.8 an ounce. Silver (SLV) ETF is at 14.60. Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 13.36. Overall, the commodities market is trading sideways.

Bonds
Junk bonds ETF (HYG) closed at 81.29. Bonds ETF (TLT) is at 131.07 with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. It is odd for bond to trade in the same direction as stocks.

Currencies
USD/JPY traded down to 112.43 and is in a Squeeze. The dollar index (/DX) is down at 95.15. EUR/USD is up at 1.1290.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a month lookback period, the ETFs outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLE, XLK, XLB and XLI respectively.

On a quarterly lookback period, the relative strength order are XLB, XLE, XLI, XLU, XLI, XLK and XLF respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed down at 13.82. Skew is up at 132.61. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping up.

The week ahead
The prognosis is that the market remains strong and will continue to trade sideways to upward for a short period.

To YOUR wealth!