3 August 2016 – On the move upwards again ….

It was a quick one day sell-off triggered by the Japanese market and the US market has reversed upward as the buy-the-dip crowd came in and picked on some stocks. All the major indices closed higher. Oil had a big day and oil stocks enjoyed a upside rally.

The dollar index is higher as ADP payroll reported employers added 179K jobs in July. ISM Non-Manufacturing for July fell to 55.5 from 56.5 the previous month and was mostly in-line with estimates of 55.9

Dow Transportation traded indecisively for the first hour and half before breaking out to the upside. It closed with a small bullish marubozu candle on its 50 SMA. Momentum is neutral. Daily volumetric buying pressure is at 80.3%. The index is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial traded upward till midday and had a small pullback before resuming its upward swing. It closed with a small bullish candle above its 21 EMA. Momentum remains upward. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 traded upward on market open and maintained its upward direction till the end of the day. It closed with a bullish marubozu candle and closed on its 8 EMA. Momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.6%.

Nasdaq 100 ranged traded throughout most of the day before breaking out in the last hour of trading. It closed with a small bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.9%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 had a slow climb upward throughout the day and closed with a bullish marubozu candle just below its 8 EMA. Momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is still in a monthly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities
Oil (/CL) futures had a big bounce upward is trading at $41.20 per barrel. Gold (/GC) futures traded sideways at $1363.0 per ounce. Silver (/SI) futures is trading at 20.345 per ounce.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF made slight gain in its downtrend and closed at 20.56. Commodities (DBC) ETF continues its downtrend and closed higher at 14.24.

Bonds
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) bounced upward and closed at 84.81. Bonds ETF (TLT) gapped down and closed at 138.41.

Currencies
The dollar index 95.530 just below its 50 SMA. EUR/USD suffered a big drop and is trading at 1.11423. USD/JPY traded sideways at 101.138.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the ETFs outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLB, XLF, XLI and XLV respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order are XLK, XLF, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLU and XLY are outperforming the S&P 500.

Market Internals
Vix made gains and is at 12.86. Vix futures is at 13.85. Skew is at 129.99. Market sentiment has turned very bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downward as well.

The Week Ahead
Market sentiment has turned bullish and although the internals has some catching up to do. The prognosis is for more upside moves in the market.

Stock of the Day
SHOP is our pick for the day. This is a stock that has the potential to be the next Amazon.

To YOUR wealth!