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8 November 2016 – Waiting for the US Presidential election results

The market continued its upward moves in anticipation of a Hillary presidency. The market is now driven by the US Presidential election.

Dow Transportation gapped down on market open and dropped and tested its 8 EMA. It found support and rallied upwards for the rest of the day and closed with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 68.2%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial probed for the bottom in the first half hour before rallying upward till after midday. It pulled back towards the end of the day and closed with a bullish candle above its 50 SMA at 18332.74. Momentum is neutral. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 51.1%. The index is in a daily, weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 dropped and probed for the bottom of day on market open. It then rallied upward for the rest of the day and closed with a high closing spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA. Momentum remains downward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 33.2%.

Nasdaq 100 probed for the bottom in the first half hour before rallying upward. It tested the 50 SMA resistance and closed below it with a bullish candle. Volumetric buying pressure is at 28%. The index is in a daily and monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 probed for its bottom in the first half hour before rallying upward till midday. It range traded till the end of the day and closed with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle below its 50 SMA. Volumetric buying pressure is at 38.8%. The index is in a daily, weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil traded down and tested its 200 SMA. It is trading at $43.14 per barrel.

Gold futures was at $1278.2 per ounce and on its 200 SMA.

Silver futures was trading at $18.372 per ounce and is above its 21 EMA.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded sideways and closed on its 21 EMA at 20.43.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.74 in sideways trading.

Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) traded down to 162’05 below its moving averages. It is in a daily downtrend.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) traded sideways and closed with a bullish inverted hammer candle below its 21 EMA at 86.07.

Bonds ETF (TLT) closed with a bearish candle at 130.09. Daily momentum remains downward.

Currencies
The dollar index closed with a small bullish candle above its 21 EMA.

EUR/USD closed with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA at 1.1025.

USD/JPY closed with a bullish candle at 105.15. It is in a Squeeze.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLF, XLB, XLV, XLE, XLI, XLK and XLY respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLU, XLE, XLB, XLV, XLI, XLK and XLY respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 18.74. Vix futures is at 22.65. Skew is at 135.60. Market sentiment remains bearish. Market breadth continues sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upward.

The Week Ahead
The market is showing bullishness ahead of the US Presidential election in anticipation of the Hillary Presidency. The prognosis is to wait for the outcome of the US presidential election.

Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is TROX. Tronox is engaged in the production and marketing of titanium bearing mineral sands and titanium dioxide pigment.

 

To YOUR wealth!

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