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9 November 2016 – Market reacts to Trump Presidency!

What volatility within the last 24 hours when the news media could not see how Trump could have a path to the White House and then we now have a president-elect Trump! The Dow Industrial futures were down 800 points as electoral counting pointed towards a Trump win and by the end of the cash session, it closed positive! It was down to 17418 and has since reached 18530. That is a 1000 point swing and that is volatility. S&P 500 futures collapsed to 2028 and have since rebounded to about 2165.

Interest rate sensitive stocks were among the largest decliners amid the incredible spike in bond yields (20 bps move higher in one day), weighing on dividend paying stocks (REITs, staples, utilities and housing). There were also a handful of sectors that declined on perception Trump would be unfavorable to them, such as solar, guns, tech (Trump has been critical of AMZN), auto suppliers (respect to trade and NAFTA), and healthcare related names tied to the Affordable Care Act (hospitals).

Dow Transportation probed for the bottom on market open and traded upward till the end of the day. It closed with bullish candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial probed for the bottom in the first few minutes after market open and rallied upward throughout the day. It closed with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index has exited its daily Squeeze and is still in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 probed for the bottom in the first minute after market open and launched itself upward to end of the day. It closed with a huge bullish candle above its 50 SMA. Momentum has reversed upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 95.5%.

Nasdaq 100 probed for the bottom in the first minute after market open and then traded upward till the end of the day. It closed with bullish marubozu candle above its 50 SMA. Volumetric buying pressure is at 81.6%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 probed for the bottom and then rallied upward. It closed with a huge bullish candle above its 50 SMA. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil traded up and closed with a big spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA. It is trading at $45.11 per barrel.

Gold futures was at $1281.2 per ounce and closed with a huge low closing spinning top doji candle on its 21 EMA.

Silver futures was trading at $18.745 per ounce and is above its 50 SMA and 21 EMA.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and traded upward to close with a small bullish marubozu candle above its 50 SMA at 20.34.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.81 with a small spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and 50 SMA.

Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) traded down to 156’20 below its moving averages. It is in a daily downtrend.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) traded down and closed with a low closing doji candle below its 21 EMA at 85.38.

Bonds ETF (TLT) gapped down and traded downward and closed at 124.57 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily momentum remains downward.

Currencies
The dollar index closed with a huge long shadow hammer candle above its moving averages.

EUR/USD closed with a huge bearish inverted hammer candle below its moving averages.

USD/JPY closed with a huge bullish hammer candle at 106.873 above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA. It has exited its Squeeze.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLE, XLI, XLB respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 18.74. Vix futures is at 13.71. Skew is at 134.61. Market sentiment is neutral. Market breadth has flattened. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upward.

The Week Ahead
The market is showing incredible bullishness after the US Presidential election. The prognosis is to take the bullish side in anticipation of a rally into Christmas.

Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is TROX. Tronox is engaged in the production and marketing of titanium bearing mineral sands and titanium dioxide pigment.

 

To YOUR wealth!

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