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2 December 2016 (Weekly summary) – Market Rotation


The Dow Jones Transportation and Dow Jones Industrial finished the week in a position of strength. Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 lost for the week. The technology sector has been range trading for about 4 months now and has a sell signal on its weekly chart. Will the Nasdaq 100 lead the market down or is this just a rotation out of technology?

The dollar index pulled back for the week but the uptrend is still intact. WTI crude oil futures had a big week and opened at $45.43 per barrel and closed the week at $51.68 per barrel. Gold continued its downtrend is closed at $1179.20.

Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed with a doji candle above its moving averages. It achieved an all-time high of 9075.82 during the week and closed at 9048.96. It is in a steep uptrend. Weekly volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed with a spinning top doji candle above its moving averages. It hits an all time high of 19215 during the week and closed at 19150.00 It is in a steep uptrend. Weekly volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 pulled back and closed with a bearish engulfing candle above all its moving averages. It closed at 1315.00. Momentum is sharply upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 82.7%.

Nasdaq 100 closed with a big bearish engulfing candle on its 21 EMA at 4739.3724. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 70.4%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 closed with a bearish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 84.8%. It is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures closed a bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages at 51.68.

Gold futures continued on its downtrend and closed with a bearish spinning top doji candle below its moving averages at 1179.20.

Silver futures closed with a spinning top doji candle below its moving averages at 16.800.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed with a big bearish candle at 19.68 below its moving averages. It remains in a down trend and is in a squeeze.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.60 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA.

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) is in a sharp downtrend and closed with a doji candle at 150’16. It has found support on its 200 SMA. Momentum is downward.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at $85.38 with a spinning top doji candle on its 21 EMA.

Bonds ETF (TLT) closed at 119.60 with a bearish spinning top doji candle below its 200 SMA. Momentum is downward.

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index closed at 100.725 with an inverted hammer candle above its moving averages.

EUR/USD closed at 1.06679 with a spinning top doji candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downward.

USD/JPY closed at 113.484 with a spinning top doji candle above its moving averages. Momentum is sharply upward.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLY and XLB respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLB and XLY respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 14.12. Vix futures is at 15.075. Skew is at 128.99. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth has flattened. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downward.

The Week Ahead
Market internals tell us that this market is weakening. The prognosis is that we could see a pullback as the Nasdaq is leading the way downward.

Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is TROX. Tronox is engaged in the production and marketing of titanium bearing mineral sands and titanium dioxide pigment.

 

To YOUR wealth!

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