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19 December 2016 – Bulls on a leash

The indices surged on market open but pulled back on news of a truck ploughing into a crowd in a Christmas market in Berlin and also the shooting of the Russian ambassador in Turkey. Market bulls will be looking for opportunities to move indices higher going into Christmas.

Dollar index continued to surge upwards and gold continued to sell down. WTI crude oil had a quiet day of trading and remained around the $53 per barrel. Bonds made slight gains for the day. The Bank of Japan will be having a policy meeting and may move the markets.

Dow Transportation grinded upward for the day and closed with a small bullish candle at 9232.98 on its 8 EMA. Momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 18.1%. The index has exited its monthly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial surged upward on market open and pulled back by mid-morning. It closed at 19883.06 within sight of 20,000. Momentum remains upward. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 90%. It has exited its monthly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 was volatile throughout the day’s trading but managed to close higher at 1371.6838 with a small bullish candle. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 36.6%.

Nasdaq 100 surged upward on market open and leveled out till mid-afternoon. It pulled back and closed towards the end of the day and closed with a small inverted hammer candle at 4934.8471. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 81.8%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 surged upward on market open and pulled back by late morning. It was volatile throughout the rest of the day and closed with a small doji candle at 2262.53. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 96%. The index has exited its monthly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures range traded within a small range and close with a small doji candle. It is trading at $53.22 per barrel.

Gold futures traded sideways within a small range and closed with a small doji candle. It is trading at $1135.4 per ounce.

Silver futures traded within a small range and closed with a small doji candle. It is trading at $15.910 per ounce.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF was volatile on market open and closed with a hammer candle at 20.22.

Commodities (DBC) ETF was volatile on market open and closed with a small spinning top doji candle at 15.55.

Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) traded slightly upward and is trading at 148’15.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) made slight gain and closed with a small bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA.

Bonds ETF (TLT) traded slightly upward and closed at 118.40. Momentum is downward.

Currencies
The dollar index continued to surge upward and closed with a small bullish candle. The dollar index continues to trend sharply upward.

EUR/USD traded downward and closed with a small bearish candle. It is trading at 1.03663.

USD/JPY continued on its sharp uptrend and closed with a bullish candle. It is trading at 118.112 above its moving averages.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLK, XLU, XLB and XLP respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLE, XLI and XLB respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.62. Vix futures is at 11.80. Skew is at 130.47. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping upward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping slightly upward.

The Week Ahead
The Christmas is on and this is about the most bullish part of the year. Market internals continue to show strength. The prognosis is for the market to continue trending upward.

Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is MITK. Mitek Systems, Inc. develops, markets and sells mobile capture and identity verification software solutions for enterprise customers.

 

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, options or futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948.


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