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22 December 2016 – Indices rest pre-Christmas

The indices pulled back for the second day as the Christmas holiday approaches. Volume was light as many market participants are already on their Christmas-Year end holiday.

Dollar index made slight gain for the day and is trading above 103. WTI oil futures pulled back and is trading below $53 per barrel. Gold continued pulling back and is trading around $1132 per ounce. Treasury bond futures made slight gain for the day. Otherwise, the market was reasonably quiet with tiny trading ranges. The CBOE volatility index is trading below 12.

Dow Transportation was muted in the first hour of trading below selling off. It pulled back towards the end of the day and closed with a small candle below its 21 EMA at 9159.64. Momentum remains upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 4.4%.

Dow Industrial range traded with a small range and closed with a tiny candle above the moving averages at 19918.88. Momentum remains upward. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 82.5%.

Russell 2000 sold off on market open till late morning. It recovered slightly in afternoon trading and closed with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 23.8%.

Nasdaq 100 traded down till late morning before recovering. It traded slightly upward and closed with a bearish hammer candle above its 8 EMA at 4934.3411. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 84.2%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.

S&P 500 traded down till late morning before rallying upward in the afternoon. It closed with a small bearish candle on its 8 EMA. Momentum is upward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 95.9%.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed with a small doji candle at $52.54 per barrel.

Gold futures traded slightly downwards and is trading at $1132.7 per ounce.

Silver futures continued selling off and is trading at $15.860 per ounce.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and continued selling off. It closed with a bearish candle below its moving averages at 19.83.

Commodities (DBC) ETF surged on market open for the first hour before selling off. It closed with an inverted hammer candle above its 21 EMA at 15.51.

Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) traded slightly upward and closed on its 8 EMA at 149’05.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) traded upward and closed above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA at 86.44.

Bonds ETF (TLT) traded sideways and closed at 117.81 on its 8 EMA.

Currencies
The dollar index traded sideways and is trading at 102.995.

EUR/USD traded slightly upward and trading at 1.04487.

USD/JPY traded sideways and is on its 8 EMA at 117.349.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLU, XLK and XLP respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLE, XLI and XLB respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.43. Vix futures is at 14.29. Skew is at 128.02. Market sentiment is neutral. Market breadth is sloping upward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution has flattened.

The Week Ahead
The market is now trading with lower volume which means that many market participants have already gone off for their year end holidays. Market internal is showing neutral sentiment and the Vix is rather low. There is no fear in the market. The prognosis is for lacklustre sideway trading.

Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is CAG. Conagra Brands Inc operates as a packaged food company. The company operates two segments: Consumer Foods and Commercial Foods.

 

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, options or futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948.


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