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7 April 2017 – A trendless market?
Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 9104.81 with a small doji candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 162.7. Weekly momentum is neutral. BuySellTimer remains in its negative cycle.
Dow Industrial closed at 20656.10 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA. Weekly trading range was 369.68. Weekly momentum is bullish. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1364.563 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA and below its 8 EMA. Weekly trading range was 39.4034. Momentum is neutral. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 touched all time high of 5479.86 and closed at 5418.3694 with a bearish spinning top doji candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 79.7808. Momentum remains upward. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2355.54 with a spinning top doji above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 33.63. Momentum remains upward. BuySellTimer remains on its positive cycle.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $52.29 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was $3.0599. Momentum is bullish. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1256.1 with a low closing spinning top doji candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 27.8999. Momentum is upward. BuySellTimer has crossed into a positive cycle.
Silver futures closed at 17.990 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.625. Weekly momentum is upward. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 19.58 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 0.4299. Momentum is downward. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.41 with a bullish candle above its 50 SMA and 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 0.33. Momentum is downward. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 151’11 with a doji candle below its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 2.4687. Momentum is downward. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.39 with a small doji candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 0.4799. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 101.130 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range is 0.89. Momentum is upward. It is in a Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0591 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0108. Momentum is downward. It is in a Squeeze.
USD/JPY closed at 111.07 with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.4539. Weekly momentum is downward.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLE, XLB, XLV, XLI and XLY respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLV, XLK, XLU, XLF, XLP and XLY respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 12.87. Vix futures is at 14.025. Skew is at 132.70. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping upward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downward.
The Week Ahead
The market internals are showing market breadth to be net gainers but volume is in distribution. A likely outcome for the short term is that the market will be trendless until further catalyst comes into the market to push it one way or the other. The prognosis is for more range trading market.
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