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9 August 2017 – Uncertainty in market
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 9235.41 with a small bullish candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 59.4. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 63%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 22048.70 with a small bullish candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 60.5. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 100%. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1396.9485 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 16.5. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 43.7%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 5919.3915 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 54.7. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 100%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 gapped down and closed at 2474.02 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 12.3. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 87.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $49.7 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1283.2 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and closed at 19.51 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 14.96 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’18 with a bullish inverted ‘hammer’ candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 87.74 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.499 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1758 with a bigh closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.05 with a bearish hammer candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLF and XLP respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLU respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.11. Vix futures is at 11.78. Skew is at 141.20. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downwards.
The Week Ahead
Vix has spiked upwards but Vix futures is still holding below 12. Market internals are showing weakness. High Yield bond is headed downwards. The prognosis is that the market is cautious and short term volatility can be expected.
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