FRED

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

19 October 2018 – Has bond bottomed?


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10438.81 with a low closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 471.12. Intermediate Cycle is positive with falling slope. Short term cycle is negative with falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Dow Industrial closed at 25444.34 with a low closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 581.67. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Russell 2000 closed at 1542.0418 with a low closing doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 60.46. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7107.233 with a low closing doji candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 264.377. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

S&P 500 closed at 2767.78 with a low closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 67.91. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $69.54 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 4.17. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Neutral. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1230.0 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 16.5. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.54 with a low closing doji candle above its 8 EMA and on its 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.3. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 17.75 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.44. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 137’28 with a bearish candle pattern below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.3437. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.90 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.555. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.642 with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.304. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Neutral. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1516 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0188. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

USD/JPY closed at 112.54 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and falling. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0086 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.014. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Neutral. It is in monthly Squeeze.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLK, XLV and XLF respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLV, XLK and XLF respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth continues to slope downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 124.94. Vix is at 19.89 and Vix futures 18.55.

The Week Ahead
Market Internals continues to signal bearishness. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are in backwardation which means that the market is expecting the current volatility to go down. The Russell 2000 futures and Dow Transportation is Oversold. The prognosis is for a double bottom and a reversal upwards. Volatility is expected to continue.

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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