FRED

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

6 November 2018 – Midterms election market, volatility

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10474.11 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 149.01. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Dow Industrial closed at 25635.01 with a bullish engulfing candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 206.96. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1556.0975 with a bullish doji sandwich candle pattern above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 20.012. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6988.85 with a dragonfly doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 96.78. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

S&P 500 closed at 2755.45 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 19.74. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $61.77 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 2.01. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1228.5 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.58 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.72 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.24. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 137’05 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.5937. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Bullish. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a Squeeze.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.56 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.22. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias- Bullish.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.265 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.301. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a Weekly Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1426 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0046. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

USD/JPY closed at 113.40 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.401. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0011 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0033. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLY and XLE.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLY and XLE respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment has turned bullish. Market Breadth is rising with more gainers then losers. Volume Accumulation/Distribution is sloping upwards which means the market is in accumulation mode. Vix is at 19.91. Vix futures is at 18.05. Skew is at 119.93.

The Week Ahead
Market continues to be volatile but it has now an upward bias. Market internals has turned bullish. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are dropping. The prognosis is for a bullish bias to the market.

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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