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Z5 Tue, 9 April 2024

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Z5 Good Friday, 29 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 27 March 2024

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Z5 Tues, 26 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 25 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 22 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 20 March 2024

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Z5 Tues, 19 March 2024

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Z5 Thur, 14 March 2024

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Z5 Tue, 12 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 11 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 8 March 2024

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3 December 2018 – A temporary truce and Indices gapped up

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 10850.44 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 230.63. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Dow Industrial closed at 25826.43 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 441.75. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Russell 2000 closed at 1548.96 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 23.81. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 7062.1332 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 157.98. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

S&P 500 gapped up and closed at 2790.37 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 40.01. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $53.08 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 3.13. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1236 with bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 13.8. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.37 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and on its 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.22. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 15.64 with a small spinning top doji hammer candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 nd 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.41. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 140’29 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.594. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 83.80 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.33. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias- Bullish.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.946 with a spinning top doji candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.484. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a daily and Weekly Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1352 with a doji candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0064. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

USD/JPY closed at 113.64 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.441. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0031 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.003. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is positive and flat. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY, XLK, XLV, XLE, XLU and XLI.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLV, XLY, XLK, XLI, XLU, XLF and XLP respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is extremely bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 118.46. Vix is at 16.44 and Vix Futures is at 17.05.

The Week Ahead
Market internals are showing strength. Skew is normal, Vix and Vix futures are trending downwards. The market has responding to the outcome from the G-20 meeting in Argentina. The prognosis is for a bullish bias in the indices for the coming week.

To YOUR wealth!
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