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25 January 2019 – Weekly Review – Bulls on the run



Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 9921.78 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 376.78. Intermediate Cycle is negative with rising slope. Short term cycle is negative with rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 24737.20 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 552.98. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1482.8534 with a high closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 39.63. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6787.3714 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 216.47. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2664.76 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 59.52. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $53.55 per barrel with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.65. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1302.5 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA , 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 28.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.  

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 144’31 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.5312. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.41 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.67. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.813 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.938. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1410 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0136. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.       

USD/JPY closed at 109.49 with a bearish spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.853. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.    

6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0114 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0064. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy. It is in a monthly Squeeze.  

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLI, XLY and XLI respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLI, XLY and XLK respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 126.11. Vix is at 17.42 and Vix futures 18.20.

The Week Ahead
The indices were range trading for most of the week and closed with a big bullish candles. Market internals are strong. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are trending downward. The prognosis is for the uptrend to continue. .  

To YOUR wealth!

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