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Z5 Fri, 29 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 8 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 1 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 26 January 2024

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3 May 2019 – Weekly Review: Low Unemployment, Jobs surge


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10958.89 with a bullish hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 351.75. Intermediate Cycle is positive with rising slope. Short term cycle is positive with rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 26504.95 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 509.03. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1614.022 with a bullish hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 47.57. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7845.7292 with a dragonfly doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 179.31. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2945.64 with a high closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 53.63. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $61.86 per barrel with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and on its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 3.8. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1280.2 with a bearish hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 22.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.   

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 147’14 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.72. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.57 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.86. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.478 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.955. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1200 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.013. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.       

USD/JPY closed at 111.08 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.854. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.    

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLK, XLI, XLP and XLY respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is rather bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 122.22. Vix is at 12.87 and Vix futures 14.25.

The Week Ahead
The week closed with strong market internals. SKEW is normal. Vix is below 13 and Vix futures is below 15. The US economy is still creating plenty of jobs and unemployment is rather low. The prognosis is for more upside to the indices.

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.



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