24 January 2020 – Weekly Review – Indices pull back on virus concern
Indices (Weekly chart) Dow Transportation ($DJT) closed at 11059.84 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 406.78. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57. The index is in its monthly Squeeze.
Dow Industrial ($DJI) closed at 28989.73 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 504.79. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium CycleWave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.4.
Russell 2000 closed at 1662.2321 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 46.44. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 60.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 9141.4671 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 170.93. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB upper and lower band. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 79.4.
S&P 500 closed at 3295.47 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 56.24. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts) WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.20 per barrel with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 5.92. Fractal Chaos Band – Below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downwards. RSI – 42.5.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1571.3 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 29.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 70.2.
Bonds (Weekly charts) Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 160’17 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 3.5937. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak UpTrend. RSI – 56.2.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.69 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.785. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.7.
Currencies (Weekly charts) The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.884 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.554. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 51.9.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1024 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.0098. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 44.6.
USD/JPY closed at 109.30 with a bearish candle below its 200 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range – 1.05. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.4.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLI, XLV, XLY, XLF, XLB and XLE respectively.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLK, SPX, SPY, XLP, /ES, XLI, XLV, XLY, XLF, XLB and XLE respectively.
Market Internals Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 127.02. Vix is at 14.56 and Vix futures 16.05.
The Week Ahead Market Sentiment is slightly bullish which is a big change. After so many months of extreme bullish, the change is worth noting. Skew is normal. Market internals are showing weakness. High Yield bond is showing a sell-off. Transportation and Russell 2000 are showing a sell-off as well. Together with market internals we can expect the market to come under selling pressure.
The prognosis is for a cautious market that is coming under selling pressure.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
24 January 2020 – Weekly Review – Indices pull back on virus concern
Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation ($DJT) closed at 11059.84 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 406.78. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57. The index is in its monthly Squeeze.
Dow Industrial ($DJI) closed at 28989.73 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 504.79. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.4.
Russell 2000 closed at 1662.2321 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 46.44. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 60.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 9141.4671 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 170.93. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB upper and lower band. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 79.4.
S&P 500 closed at 3295.47 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 56.24. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.20 per barrel with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 5.92. Fractal Chaos Band – Below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downwards. RSI – 42.5.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1571.3 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 29.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 70.2.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 160’17 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 3.5937. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak UpTrend. RSI – 56.2.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.69 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.785. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.7.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.884 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.554. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 51.9.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1024 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.0098. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 44.6.
USD/JPY closed at 109.30 with a bearish candle below its 200 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range – 1.05. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.4.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLI, XLV, XLY, XLF, XLB and XLE respectively.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLK, SPX, SPY, XLP, /ES, XLI, XLV, XLY, XLF, XLB and XLE respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 127.02. Vix is at 14.56 and Vix futures 16.05.
The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish which is a big change. After so many months of extreme bullish, the change is worth noting. Skew is normal. Market internals are showing weakness. High Yield bond is showing a sell-off. Transportation and Russell 2000 are showing a sell-off as well. Together with market internals we can expect the market to come under selling pressure.
The prognosis is for a cautious market that is coming under selling pressure.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
Share this:
Related