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26 May 2020 – A breakout then pullback

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and exited preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and exited into a preliminary Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and exited into a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend and exited into a preliminary Squeeze.

Volatility compression is being released.

/CL UpTrend. /GC – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. New contract starts. /ZB – DownTrend and in Squeeze. New contract starts. HYGUpTrend and exited its preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend.

Commodities is in upTrend which is rather bullish for the market.

$DXYDownTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.684. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix –28.01 and Vix Futures – 29.25. Skew – 129.11.

The Squeezes in the indices are indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market is in a DownTrend. Gold is pulling back but is still above $1700. Market Internals are indicating bullishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is in an upTrend. The prognosis is that the market has a bullish bias.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are /ES, XLB, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLK, XLF, XLV, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLY, XLK, XLB, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLP, XLI, XLU, XLE and XLF.  


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