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9 October 2020 – Weekly Review – Stimulus week

Summary (Weekly Chart)
$DJTUpTrend with upward momentum. /YMUpTrend with upward momentum with preliminary Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend with upward Momentum. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum.

The indices have gained that the stimulus talks are on.

/CL – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /GCUpTrend with upward momentum. /ZBUpTrend with Downward momentum and in a Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

$DXY – DownTrend and with downward momentum. EUR/USDUpTrend and with upward momentum. USD/JPYDownTrend with downward momentum.

Summary (Daily Chart)
$DJTUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YM – UpTrend with upward momentum. /RTY – UpTrend with upward momentum. /NQ – UpTrend with upward momentum. /ES – UpTrend with Upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

/CL – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /GC – DownTrend and upward momentum. /ZB –DownTrend with downward momentum. HYG – UpTrend with upward momentum.

$DXY – DownTrend with downward momentum. EUR/USD – UpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals (Daily Chart)
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.569. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix – 25.00 and Vix Futures – 26.80. Skew – 121.93.

The indices continue to trade upwards on continuing stimulus talks. Market Sentiment continues to be extremely bullish and market breadth is showing more gainers than losers and market volume is showing accumulation. Vix has trended downwards and Skew is normal.

Gold has risen to above USD 1900 per troy ounce. Oil continues to be volatile. High Yield bond (HYG) which measures market appetite for risk is trending upwards. It is a risk-on market.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPX, XLY, XLI, XLU, XLB, XLV, XLF, /ES, SPY, XLK, XLP and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLY, XLB, XLV, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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