The major indices closed higher and the Nasdaq is catching up to the other indices as it continues to sharp upward trend. The path of least resistance is to the upside. The US Dollar index held above the 100 level throughout the intraday session and ending around the 100.20 level. The dollar index has risen sharply over the past week of more than 4% amid rising yields and inflation expectations. Also, The FOMC is expected to raise the interest rate. Bonds have stabilised after the recent rout.
Dow Transportation probed for the bottom in the first half hour after market open and crawled along the bottom till midday. It traded upward till the end of the day and closed with a spinning top doji in a sharp uptrend. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.
Dow Industrial probed for the bottom in the first hour of trading and range traded along that level till after midday. It traded upward and closed with a bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is sharply upwards. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 96.2%. The index is still in a monthly Squeeze.
Russell 2000 probed for the bottom in the first hour of trading and then reversed upward. It surged upward after midday and closed with a high closing doji candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is upward and in a sharp uptrend. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.9%.
Nasdaq 100 traded sharply upward till mid-morning before pulling back. It surged again after midday till the end of the day and closed with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle pattern. Momentum remains downward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 77.5%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.
S&P 500 probed for the bottom in the first half hour after market open range traded till mid-day. It surged upward after midday and closed with a bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures launched itself upward from its 200 SMA and painted a big bullish candle. It ended the trading day at 45.59 below its 21 EMA and was above $46 per barrel intraday.
Gold futures stabilised and is trading 1230.6. Momentum remains downward.
Silver futures stabilised and bounced from its recent low and is trading below its 200 SMA at $17.175 per ounce.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded sideways and closed with a doji candle at 20.05.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA at 14.70.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) stabilised and traded sideways and closed with a small inverted hammer candle below its 200 SMA at 154’23. Momentum remains downward.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA but below its 21 EMA.
Bonds ETF (TLT) traded sideways and closed with a small bearish candle below its moving averages at 121.91. It remains in a downtrend.
Currencies
The dollar index continued its sharp uptrend is has breached its 100 level. It closed with a bullish candle and is trading at 99.985.
EUR/USD formed a big inverted hammer candle in oversold condition which is a reversal candle. It is trading at 1.07498.
USD/JPY formed a big bullish candle above all its moving averages in a sharp uptrend. It is trading at 109.038.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLV and XLB respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLV and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 13.38. Vix futures is at 15.40. Skew is at 119.79. Market sentiment is very bullish. Market breadth has a slight slope upward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping sharply upward.
The Week Ahead
The major indices have been breaking to new highs and that is a very bullish sign. The banking stocks and commodities stocks are doing rather well in anticipation of the repealing of the Dodd-Frank Act and also the interest rate hikes. Other factors are the anticipation of the infrastructure constructions in the US. The prognosis is to long those sectors.
Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is TROX. Tronox is engaged in the production and marketing of titanium bearing mineral sands and titanium dioxide pigment.
To YOUR wealth!
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15 November 2016 – US Dollar index held above 100
The major indices closed higher and the Nasdaq is catching up to the other indices as it continues to sharp upward trend. The path of least resistance is to the upside. The US Dollar index held above the 100 level throughout the intraday session and ending around the 100.20 level. The dollar index has risen sharply over the past week of more than 4% amid rising yields and inflation expectations. Also, The FOMC is expected to raise the interest rate. Bonds have stabilised after the recent rout.
Dow Transportation probed for the bottom in the first half hour after market open and crawled along the bottom till midday. It traded upward till the end of the day and closed with a spinning top doji in a sharp uptrend. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.
Dow Industrial probed for the bottom in the first hour of trading and range traded along that level till after midday. It traded upward and closed with a bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is sharply upwards. Short term volumetric buying pressure is at 96.2%. The index is still in a monthly Squeeze.
Russell 2000 probed for the bottom in the first hour of trading and then reversed upward. It surged upward after midday and closed with a high closing doji candle above all its moving averages. Momentum is upward and in a sharp uptrend. Volumetric buying pressure is at 99.9%.
Nasdaq 100 traded sharply upward till mid-morning before pulling back. It surged again after midday till the end of the day and closed with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle pattern. Momentum remains downward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 77.5%. The index is in a monthly Squeeze.
S&P 500 probed for the bottom in the first half hour after market open range traded till mid-day. It surged upward after midday and closed with a bullish marubozu candle above all its moving averages. Volumetric buying pressure is at 100%. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures launched itself upward from its 200 SMA and painted a big bullish candle. It ended the trading day at 45.59 below its 21 EMA and was above $46 per barrel intraday.
Gold futures stabilised and is trading 1230.6. Momentum remains downward.
Silver futures stabilised and bounced from its recent low and is trading below its 200 SMA at $17.175 per ounce.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded sideways and closed with a doji candle at 20.05.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA at 14.70.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) stabilised and traded sideways and closed with a small inverted hammer candle below its 200 SMA at 154’23. Momentum remains downward.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA but below its 21 EMA.
Bonds ETF (TLT) traded sideways and closed with a small bearish candle below its moving averages at 121.91. It remains in a downtrend.
Currencies
The dollar index continued its sharp uptrend is has breached its 100 level. It closed with a bullish candle and is trading at 99.985.
EUR/USD formed a big inverted hammer candle in oversold condition which is a reversal candle. It is trading at 1.07498.
USD/JPY formed a big bullish candle above all its moving averages in a sharp uptrend. It is trading at 109.038.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLV and XLB respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLI, XLE, XLV and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 13.38. Vix futures is at 15.40. Skew is at 119.79. Market sentiment is very bullish. Market breadth has a slight slope upward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping sharply upward.
The Week Ahead
The major indices have been breaking to new highs and that is a very bullish sign. The banking stocks and commodities stocks are doing rather well in anticipation of the repealing of the Dodd-Frank Act and also the interest rate hikes. Other factors are the anticipation of the infrastructure constructions in the US. The prognosis is to long those sectors.
Stock of the Day
The Stock of the Day is TROX. Tronox is engaged in the production and marketing of titanium bearing mineral sands and titanium dioxide pigment.
To YOUR wealth!
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