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Bursa Malaysia – KLSEFREDFutures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
14 December 2015 We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.8 December 2015 We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75. 27 November 2015 We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST) Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
21 August 2015 This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47. 13 July 2015 We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST) Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
13 July 2015 We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning. 15 June 2015 We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST) |
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17 May 2017 – It came tumbling down
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 8783.74 candle with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 229.42. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 29.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 20606.93 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 245.0899. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 70.7%. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Russell 2000 gapped down and closed at 1355.8895 with a huge bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 32.457. Momentum is downward. Volumetric buying pressure is at 27.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 5580.5484 with a huge bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 110.581. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 61.2%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 gapped down and closed at 2357.03 with a huge bearish marobozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 28.6599. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buying pressure is at 24.5%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA. Momentum is upward. It is trading at $49.31 per barrel. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures closed with a big bullish candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. It is trading at $1260.8 per ounce. Momentum is upward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Silver futures closed with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA. It is trading at $16.90 per ounce. Momentum is downward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 20.15 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA but below its 200 SMA. Momentum is upward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.82 with a doji candle above its 21 EMA. Momentum is downward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. It is trading at 153’16. Momentum is upward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 87.92 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA. Momentum is upward. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed with a big bearish candle below its moving averages. It is trading at 97.392. Momentum is downward.
EUR/USD closed with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA. It is trading at 1.1164. Momentum is upward.
USD/JPY closed with a huge bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downward. It is trading at 110.88.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLE, XLV, XLU and XLI respectively.
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are underperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLB, XLE, XLY, XLK, XLI and XLV respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLF, XLV, XLY, XLI, XLP and XLE respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 15.59. Vix futures is at 14.43. Skew is at 133.51. Market sentiment has turned bearish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downward.
The Week Ahead
The Vix has shot through the roof and is 10.59 but the Vix futures is at 14.43 showing that the market participants is treating this pullback as a short term event. The pullback is from a perceived political event is likely to blow over in a short while. More experienced market participants is treating this as a buying opportunity. The prognosis is for the market to work off its excesses and then resume its uptrend.
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