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16 August 2017 – Market is highly SKEWed
Dow Transportation closed at 9377.22 with a low closing doji candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 76.9. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 63.3%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Dow Industrial closed at 22024.87 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 83.24. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 57.9%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1383.5339 with a doji candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 9.78. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 7.8%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5917.42 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 45.4. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 85%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2468.11 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 11.07. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 73.8%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $46.77 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1288.8 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded downwards and closed at 18.78 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and traded downwards to close at 14.54 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’31 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 87.83 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.471 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1766 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.18 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLP, XLB and XLF respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLB and XLI respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.74. Vix futures is at 13.15. Skew is at 148.62. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals are giving mixed signals. SKEW is extremely elevated above 148.62 which usually means that market participants is expecting the market to head downwards. The prognosis is for a high probability of investors selling into any rising market or a short term downward market.
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