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Z5 Fri, 29 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 27 March 2024

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Z5 Tues, 26 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 25 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 22 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 20 March 2024

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Z5 Tues, 19 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 18 March 2024

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Z5 Thur, 14 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 13 March 2024

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Z5 Tue, 12 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 11 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 8 March 2024

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Z5 Thur, 7 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 6 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 4 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 1 March 2024

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Z5 Fri, 26 January 2024

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Z5 Thur, 25 January 2024

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25 September 2017 – A divergent market

Dow Transportation closed at 9715.10 with a small high closing doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 81.04. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

Dow Industrial closed at 22296.09 with a spinning top doji candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 140.77. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and negative slope. The first sign of a turning index.

Russell 2000 touched all-time high at 1455.22 and closed at 1451.958 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.199. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

Nasdaq 100 gapped down, traded downward and closed at 5867.35 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 68.6711. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and negative slope.

S&P 500 closed at 2496.66 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 14.51. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and negative slope. The first turning bar on the TSI has now appeared.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $52.13 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

Gold futures closed at $1314.1 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Momentum is neutral. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and negative slope.

Agriculture ETF (DBA) closed at 18.89 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in negative cycle and positive slope.

Commodities ETF (DBC) closed at 15.68 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

 

Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’28 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in negative cycle and positive slope.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.48 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

 

Currencies
$DXY closed at 92.661 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. TSI is in negative cycle and positive slope. The dollar index is showing divergence and that means it is finding support level and turning upwards.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1847 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. TSI is in positive cycle and negative slope.

USD/JPY closed at 111.72 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. TSI is in positive cycle and positive slope.

6S (Swiss Franc futures) closed at 1.0403 with a bullish candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLI, XLB and XLV respectively.

On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLK, XLB, XLI, XLU and XLV respectively.

Market Internals
Vix closed at 9.67. Vix futures is at 12.50. Skew is at 135.07. Market sentiment is slightly bullish. Market breadth is sloping upwards. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.

The Week Ahead
Market internals continue to show strength. Vix is below 10 which is very bullish for the market. Vix futures is at 12.50 which tells us that the market is not expecting near term volaitility. Nasdaq 100 is leading the market down while Dow Transportation is breaking out to new highs. The US dollar index is changing momentum from downwards to upwards. We have a divergent market in the indices. The prognosis is for more a mixed market.

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