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Z5 Fri 30 August 2024

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17 January 2019 – Bulls continue to push upwards

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 9756.75 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 207.54. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Dow Industrial closed at 24370.10 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 385.56. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1467.25 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 22.28. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6718.453 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 110.19. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2635.96 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 38.7. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $52.48 per barrel with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.59. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1291.6 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 6.7. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.40 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.20. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 145’01 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.91. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.  

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.26 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.4. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.071 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.282. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.387 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0035. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 109.24 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.708. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLI and XLY.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLI and XLY respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 133.02. Vix is at 18.06 and Vix Futures is at 18.57.   

The Week Ahead
The market remains bullish and continues to power upwards. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures have trended downwards. The Tom DeMark technical indicator is showing warning signals. The prognosis is the bulish market to continue but caution is advised.

To YOUR wealth!
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