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17 February 2021 – Vaccination shows results, market hesitates

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and upward momentum. /NQUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum.

The indices is losing momentum upwards. It looks to want to have a rest and pullback slightly.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC continued on their UpTrend. This is bullish for the market overall.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.482. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 144.45. Vix – 21.5.

Market internals are giving a bullish bias signal and is indicating a slowdown in momentum upwards.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLF, XLE, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLK, XLI, XLY, XLV, XLB, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLE, XLK, XLB, XLI, XLF, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLV, XLU and XLP.

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