7 January 2019 – Optimism in Trade Talks, Market Responds
Indices Dow Transportation closed at 9296.23 with a bullish spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 213.15. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Dow Industrial closed at 23531.35 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 386.15. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Russell 2000 closed at 1405.365 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.16. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6488.254 with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 108.465. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
S&P 500 closed at 2549.69 with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 41.6. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $48.77 per barrel with an ‘inverted hammer’ candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.68. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1290.3 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.16 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.96 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.24. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 146’07 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.406. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 83.19 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.8. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.659 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.5609. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It has exited its daily and weekly Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1473 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0088. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.
USD/JPY closed at 108.7 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.725. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0277 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0084. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLF, XLI and XLB.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLF, XLI and XLB respectively.
Market Internals Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 113.56. Vix is at 21.40 and Vix Futures is at 21.20.
The Week Ahead Market Sentiment is rather bullish and there are plenty of optimism that there will be a trade deal between China and USA. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are still elevated above 21 and it is telling us that the market is prepared for any eventualities. The prognosis is for a bullish bias but with caution.
To YOUR wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
7 January 2019 – Optimism in Trade Talks, Market Responds
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 9296.23 with a bullish spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 213.15. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Dow Industrial closed at 23531.35 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 386.15. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Russell 2000 closed at 1405.365 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.16. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6488.254 with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 108.465. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
S&P 500 closed at 2549.69 with a bullish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 41.6. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $48.77 per barrel with an ‘inverted hammer’ candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.68. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1290.3 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.16 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.96 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.24. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 146’07 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.406. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 83.19 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.8. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.659 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.5609. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It has exited its daily and weekly Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1473 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0088. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.
USD/JPY closed at 108.7 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.725. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0277 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0084. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLF, XLI and XLB.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLF, XLI and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 113.56. Vix is at 21.40 and Vix Futures is at 21.20.
The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is rather bullish and there are plenty of optimism that there will be a trade deal between China and USA. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are still elevated above 21 and it is telling us that the market is prepared for any eventualities. The prognosis is for a bullish bias but with caution.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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