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30 September 2022 – Volatility trading with Buy/Sell quadrants

This is a study of using TiTTs on the 30 September 2022. The idea is to manage a trade using the ATR Trailing StopLoss or the 55 SMA to handle volatility. The reward is bigger profits when market is trending well. The downside is the potential for lack of smaller and more frequent profits in non-trending market or market with only short trend.

Chart 1: 30 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 1 above shows Buy/Sell quadrants. The Buy signal was given when the vertical line of the 8/31 EMA crosses above. There was an immediate pullback with the candles managing to keep the candle close above the 55 SMA and thus remained in the Buy-Buy zone. There was a short upTrend followed by longer period of non-trending volatility with the candles range trending sideways.

Then there was a Squeeze upward followed by another period of sideway trading. Then there was a last Squeeze upward. If we had been managing the Momentum-Trendm we would have exited the trade profitable but a small profit.

The idea is that the Momentum-Trend system for managing trade is a short term technique and result in smaller profits.

If we are using the ATR Trailing-StopLoss for managing the trade, it would have resulted in holding the trade for much longer and a corresponding larger profit. The 55 SMA is also a good line for managing longer term trades.

Buy/Sell Quadrants Explained
On the horizontal timescale, the Vertical line represent the 8/21 EMA crossing. When 8 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA, it forms a vertical line and we are now in the Buy zone. The 55 SMA is the other Buy/Sell zone dividing line. Above the 55 SMA is the Buy zone and below the 55 SMA is the Sell zone. Hence we have a quadrant.

Although there are 4 quadrants, only the Upper Right and the Lower Left quadrants are of interest. The Lower Left quadrant is the Sell zone and the Upper Right quadrant is the Buy quadrant.

4 October 2022 – A confirmed rally?

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Upward momentum.
/RTYNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLNeutral Trend and upward momentum.
/GCUpTrend and upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and upward momentum.
HYGNeutral Trend and upward momentum.
DBCNeutral Trend and upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.212
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 29.07

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLU, XLK, XLC, XLY and XLP.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLF, XLY, XLP, XLK and XLC.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

3 October 2022 – Is this the turn?

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/YM DownTrend and neutral momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/ESDownTrend and neutral momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and upward momentum.
/GCSideward Trend and upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and upward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and downward momentum.
DBCDownTrend and upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL, /SI

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.141
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 30.1

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLV, XLF, XLU, XLI, XLK, XLC, XLP and XLY.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLY, XLI, XLF, XLP, XLK and XLC.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

30 September 2022 – Weekly Review

Chart 1: Weekly chart of the S&P 500 sectors

Summary (3-Day Chart)
$DJT – DownTrend
with downward momentum.
/YM – DownTrend with downward momentum.
/RTY – DownTrend with downward momentum.
/NQDownTrend with downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend with downward momentum.

/CLDownTrend with downward momentum.
/GCDownTrend with downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend with downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend with downward momentum.
DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

Summary (Daily Chart)
$DJTDownTrend with downward momentum.
/YMDownTrend with downward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend with downward momentum.
/NQDownTrend with downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend with downward momentum.

/CLDownTrend with neutral momentum.
/GCDownTrend with neutral momentum.
/ZBDownTrend with downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend with downward momentum.
DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

$DXYUpTrend with neutral momentum.
EUR/USDDownTrend with upward momentum.
USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

US Dollar is in an uptrend.

Tight Squeezes

Squeezes (Daily)
/BTC, USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (Daily)
/CL, /SI

Market Internals

Market Internals (Daily Chart)
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.982
Market Breadth – below the signal line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below the signal line showing distribution.
Vix – 31.62

Market Internals are signaling Bearishness.

On a 3-monthly period, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLF, XLV, XLY, XLU, XLC, XLK, XLP and XLI.

On a 12-monthly period, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLY, XLV, XLU, XLB, XLF, XLK, XLP, XLI and XLC.

Table 1: Tabulation of the S&P 500 Sectors

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

TiTTs – 30 Sep 2022 – Buy / Sell Zone Quadrants with TiTTs

This is a study of using TiTTs on the 30 September 2022. The new idea is to see the market in terms of Buy/Sell zones in 4 quadrants. We then trade the quadrants using the Momentum/Trend trading system which we name TiTTs. TiTTs stands for Trend-In-Trend trading system. In TiTTs, we look at moving averages from higher timeframes. All moving averages in different timeframes can become Support and Resistance.

Chart 1: 30 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 1 above shows Buy/Sell quadrants. On the horizontal timescale, the Vertical line represent the 8/21 EMA crossing. When 8 EMA crosses above the 21 EMA, it forms a vertical line and we are now in the Buy zone. The 55 SMA is the other Buy/Sell zone dividing line. Above the 55 SMA is the Buy zone and below the 55 SMA is the Sell zone. Hence we have a quadrant.

Although there are 4 quadrants, only the Upper Right and the Lower Left quadrants are of interest. The Lower Left quadrant is the Sell zone and the Upper Right quadrant is the Buy quadrant.

In chart 1 above, when market opened at 9:30 am, it was in the Sell zone. As usual at market open, it was volatile and the Candle Close was jerking Up and Down. The Bears and Bulls were battling it out with seemingly no direction. Finally at 9:42, there was a big decisive Bullish candle upward and the direction upward was set.

Chart 2: 30 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 2 shows the TiTTs with the Buy/Sell zones. Together with the Momentum/Trend dots, we can trade with high confidence that the trade will work out. Volatility i the enemy of the trader and it is easy to be shaken out of trades by volatility.

Earlier after the market Open and when the direction has been set, the /RTY had to push its way past the moving averages from higher timeframe such as the 3 min and 10 min. Then it was in clear and it still took time to grind its way upward.

29 September 2022 – A fall but bulls working hard

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/YM DownTrend and downward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and downward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and neutral momentum.
HYGDownTrend and neutral momentum.
DBCDownTrend and neutral momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC, USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL, /SI

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.004
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 31.84

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLY, XLV, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLC, XLK, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLU, XLV, XLY, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLP, XLK and XLC.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

TiTTs – Stacked Moving Averages and Conviction in Trading

This is a study of using TiTTs on the 29 September 2022. When market Opened, the 8/21 EMA crossed downwards to set up the Sell zone. The moving averages were nicely stacked downward and that means there was no moving averages support below. Also, the ATR Trailing StopLoss was sitting nicely above the stacked moving averages. The move downward was quite forceful with very little counter action by Bulls. With the force of conviction, the trade should be held as long as the candles remained RED.

By now, we should be familiar with TiTTs which consists of Buy/Sell zone, Momentum and Trend dots. The rest are moving averages and we like to be a trade with stacked moving averages. This means when we are Long a trade when the moving averages are stacked below the candle close. Likewise when we are Short a trade, the moving averages are stacked above the candle close.

Chart 1: 29 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 1 above shows the Entry #1 which was the candle turned RED. The Momentum and Trend dots were White. All the other support dots were White as well.

At Entry #1 – the /RTY candle turned RED and the moving averages were stacked above it. Momentum and Trend candles are White so a Short trade should be initiated.

The RED candles continued for quite a while and with conviction, the Short trade is to be held until the RED candle turned Yellow. That is the signal it is the end of the Trend.

Exit #1 – The candle turned Yellow signalling the end of the trend and it is time to exit the Short trade.

Subsequent to the exit, the Bulls tried to take /RTY upward but the candle close was trapped between the moving averages, the trade becomes volatile as it has to overcome resistances from moving averages above it and support from moving averages below it. Hence any up move or down move tends to be slow and prolonged.

The understudies below the main chart and the $ADD understudy chart below it. This is market internal and it gives information on the difference between the number of Gainers versus number of Losers.

28 September 2022 – A bounce from Oversold condition

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and downward momentum. Oversold condition.
/YM DownTrend and downward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/ESDownTrend and neutral momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/GCDownTrend and neutral momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and neutral momentum.
HYGDownTrend and neutral momentum.
DBCDownTrend and neutral momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC, USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.897
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 30.18

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLY, XLV, XLU, XLB, XLF, XLC, XLI, XLP and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLF, XLK and XLC.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

TiTTs – The cost of impatience and indiscipline

This is a study of using TiTTs on the 28 September 2022. In trading, impatience and indiscipline is the greatest enemy of the P/L. In this instance, when the market opened at 9:30 am ET, the candles were showing RED which means Bearish zone. The Momentum and Trend dots were both White but from the market internals, we know the Bulls of there.

In a case of trying to anticipate the market movement, we entered Buy Long three times and were stopped out three times in a RED (SELL) zone and also when both the Momentum and Trend dots were WHITE!!! It has to be one of the silliest trade when using the TiTT system is very well setup to avoid that kind of mistakes. All the trader needs to do is to follow Buy/Sell zone, the colour of the candles and Momentum and Trend Green/White dots. Nothing could be easier.

Chart 1: 28 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 1 above shows the Entry #1 which was showing RED candles and Momentum and Trend White dots. We went Long three times and were stopped out three times. The /RTY did eventually moved upwards but that is beside the point. In trading, Patience and Discipline is a virtue.

At #2 – the /RTY pulled back to support which was the 55 SMA and 89 SMA. After a few candles, the Buy signal was given at #3.

#3 and #4 – The Momentum and Trend dots are Green. Remember that we are still in the 8/21 BUY Zone which means the 8 EMA is above the 21 EMA.

Chart 2: 28 September 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 2 above, we are looking at the overall market for the /RTY. Here, we monitor the 1-min chart and 3-min chart as well as the market internals like the $TICK and $ADD. The intent here is to further develop TiTTs. We could just use the 55 SMA on either the 1-min or 3-min chart to hold onto the trade for a larger profit. The Long Tide indicator is useful as it is smooths out the volatility and allows us to hold on to the trade for longer period for enhanced profit.

27 September 2022 – Bears overpower on Bulls

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and downward momentum. Oversold condition.
/YM DownTrend and downward momentum. Oversold condition.
/RTYDownTrend and downward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and downward momentum. Oversold condition.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and downward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. Oversold condition.
HYGDownTrend and downward momentum.
DBCDownTrend and downward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC, USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.946
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 32.6

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLE, XLU, XLF, XLB, XLI, XLK, XLV, XLC and XLP.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLI, XLF, XLB, XLK, XLP and XLC.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA