Indices Dow Transportation closed at 10661.57 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 194.47. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.
Dow Industrial closed at 26430.14 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 263.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.
Russell 2000 closed at 1576.38 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 19.72. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7751.8469 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 101.294. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 2923.73 with a small bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 30.77. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $63.62 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.16. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1278.3 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 14.9. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.04 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and on its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.15. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 147’28 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.875. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.29 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.665. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.616 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.579. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1194 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0077. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
USD/JPY closed at 111.36 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.564. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLK, XLP, XLY and XLI.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.
Market Internals Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew is at 125.32. Vix is at 14.80 and Vix Futures is at 15.10.
The Week Ahead Market Internals are weakening. Both the Market Breadth and Volume Acc/Dis are sloping downwards. Skew is normal. Vix is below 15 and Vix futures is below 16. Market Sentiment remains bullish. The prognosis is for increase in volatility and a market turning South.
To YOUR wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
1 May 2019 – Beginning of a market turn?
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10661.57 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 194.47. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.
Dow Industrial closed at 26430.14 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 263.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.
Russell 2000 closed at 1576.38 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 19.72. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7751.8469 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 101.294. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2923.73 with a small bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 30.77. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $63.62 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.16. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1278.3 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 14.9. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.04 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and on its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.15. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 147’28 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.875. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.29 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.665. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.616 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.579. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1194 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0077. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
USD/JPY closed at 111.36 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.564. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLK, XLP, XLY and XLI.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew is at 125.32. Vix is at 14.80 and Vix Futures is at 15.10.
The Week Ahead
Market Internals are weakening. Both the Market Breadth and Volume Acc/Dis are sloping downwards. Skew is normal. Vix is below 15 and Vix futures is below 16. Market Sentiment remains bullish. The prognosis is for increase in volatility and a market turning South.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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