Indices Dow Transportation closed at 10291.64 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range 162.29. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – DownTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 47.9.
Dow Industrial closed at 26860.20 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 199.96. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle – positive and rising. Medium Cycle – positive and falling. Short Cycle – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 64.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1568.3 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.8. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7925 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 138.25. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 2996.25 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 36.25. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 66.8.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $60.27 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.19. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Bullish. RSI – 61.5.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1421 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 29.3. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 66.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.01 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and on its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.368. Fractal Chaos Band – on its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.4.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 154’17 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.344. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 52.9.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.96 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.36. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 54.1.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.082 with a bearish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.517. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Upward. RSI – 51.8.
EUR/USD closed at 1.125 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0025. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – DownTrend. Momentum – downward. RSI – 48.6.
USD/JPY closed at 108.45 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.643. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Upward. RSI – 48.3.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY.
On a 6-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY and XLP respectively.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew -120.66. Vix – 13.03 and Vix Futures – 14.
The Week Ahead Market Sentiment remains bullish. Market internals are showing mixed signals as market breadth is still showing more gainers to losers while market volume is showing distribution. Skew is normal. Vix is below 14 and Vix Futures is below 15. With the Vix at that level, the market is showing complacency. Dow Transportation and Russell 2000 is showing signs of selling and they are likely to be leading the market downwards. The prognosis is for the indices to move upwards before a pullback at a later stage.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
10 July 2019 – Fed speaks, market roared
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10291.64 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range 162.29. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – DownTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 47.9.
Dow Industrial closed at 26860.20 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 199.96. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle – positive and rising. Medium Cycle – positive and falling. Short Cycle – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 64.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1568.3 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.8. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7925 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 138.25. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2996.25 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 36.25. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 66.8.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $60.27 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.19. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Bullish. RSI – 61.5.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1421 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 29.3. Fractal Chaos Band – within the FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 66.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.01 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and on its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.368. Fractal Chaos Band – on its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.4.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 154’17 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.344. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 52.9.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.96 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.36. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Downward. RSI – 54.1.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.082 with a bearish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.517. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Upward. RSI – 51.8.
EUR/USD closed at 1.125 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0025. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – DownTrend. Momentum – downward. RSI – 48.6.
USD/JPY closed at 108.45 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.643. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – UpTrend. Momentum – Upward. RSI – 48.3.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY.
On a 6-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY and XLP respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew -120.66. Vix – 13.03 and Vix Futures – 14.
The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment remains bullish. Market internals are showing mixed signals as market breadth is still showing more gainers to losers while market volume is showing distribution. Skew is normal. Vix is below 14 and Vix Futures is below 15. With the Vix at that level, the market is showing complacency. Dow Transportation and Russell 2000 is showing signs of selling and they are likely to be leading the market downwards. The prognosis is for the indices to move upwards before a pullback at a later stage.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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