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16 December 2019 – Indices up after Trade Deal

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 10867.32 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 148.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.1.

Dow Industrial closed at 28235.89 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 202.11. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.3.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1649.9393 with an inverted hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 20.6. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 67.3.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 8570.3342 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 97.074. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.4.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 3191.45 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 28.91. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.1.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $60.14 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.63. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 63.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1480.4 with a doji candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 7.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.2.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 15.98 with a small inverted ‘hammer’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.145. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 66.1.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 157’07 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.3437. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 43.5.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 87.78 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.9.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.142 with a dragonfly doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.245. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 39.2.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1142 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0035. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 62.3.

USD/JPY closed at 109.52 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.42. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 61.6.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLV, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLB, XLI, XLE and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPX, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLV, XLF, XLY, XLB, XLI, XLU and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 143.85. Vix – 12.14 and Vix Futures – 12.25.   

The Week Ahead 
Skew is now signalling that the market is skewed to overly bullish. Vix and Vix futures are below 13 and could be signalling complacency. Market Internals are showing strength. The indices continue to trend upwards and it could be a sign of irrational bullishness. The prognosis is for volatility as the market is in the zone of being overbought and continues to have a bullish bias.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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