Indices Dow Transportation closed at 10061.46 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 521.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 27.1.
Dow Industrial closed at 27081.36 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1151.58. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 25.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1571.8969 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 64.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 29.1.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8834.8654 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 376.68. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 34.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 3128.21 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 128.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 28.2.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $50.1 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 36.8.
Gold (/GC) gapped up and closed at 1637 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 39.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.7.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.23 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.27. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 30.7.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 167’06 with a big spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.1875. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 86.77 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.12. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 31.9.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.995 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.505. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 58.9.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0879 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.006. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 40.3.
USD/JPY closed at 110.19 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.152. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 53.9.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLY, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLP, XLK, /ES, XLV, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLF, XLI, XLB and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Bearish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Skew – 130.79. Vix – 27.85 and Vix Futures – 21.40.
The Week Ahead Skew is normal. Vix has increased to below 28 and Vix futures is below 22. Market Internals are showing weakness. Market sentiment is bearish. Gold has retraced downwards. Bond continues to surge upwards. There were fears in the market as the contagion from COVID19 continue to spread outside of China. The prognosis is for a volatile market with bearish bias.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
25 February 2020 – Fears take over the market
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10061.46 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 521.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 27.1.
Dow Industrial closed at 27081.36 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1151.58. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 25.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1571.8969 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 64.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 29.1.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8834.8654 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 376.68. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 34.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3128.21 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 128.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 28.2.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $50.1 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 36.8.
Gold (/GC) gapped up and closed at 1637 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 39.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.7.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.23 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.27. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 30.7.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 167’06 with a big spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.1875. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 86.77 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.12. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 31.9.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.995 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.505. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 58.9.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0879 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.006. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 40.3.
USD/JPY closed at 110.19 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.152. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 53.9.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLY, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLP, XLK, /ES, XLV, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLF, XLI, XLB and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Skew – 130.79. Vix – 27.85 and Vix Futures – 21.40.
The Week Ahead
Skew is normal. Vix has increased to below 28 and Vix futures is below 22. Market Internals are showing weakness. Market sentiment is bearish. Gold has retraced downwards. Bond continues to surge upwards. There were fears in the market as the contagion from COVID19 continue to spread outside of China. The prognosis is for a volatile market with bearish bias.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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