4 March 2020 – Volatility continues, indices popped up
Indices Dow Transportation closed at 9512.05 with a big bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 334.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 30.5.
Dow Industrial closed at 27090.86 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1184.93. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 43.3.
Russell 2000 closed at 1531.1973 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 45.115. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 37.6.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8949.2807 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 357.62. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 47.1.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 3130.12 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 127.6. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 44.1.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $47.2 per barrel with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.76. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 36.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1637.7 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 21.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 59.9.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 13.96 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.1897. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 34.3.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 170’24 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.9375. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 72.9.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.12 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 47.4.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.372 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.4749. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 35.7.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1133 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0091. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.
USD/JPY closed at 107.51 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.844. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 34.4.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLY, XLI, XLF and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLY, XLB, XLF, XLI and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Slightly Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 127.38. Vix – 31.99 and Vix Futures – 28.45.
The Week Ahead The indices rebounded after the previous day selloff. It does look that the market is primed for a recovery although the background story of increasing COVID19 spread in the US might still bring down the market lower. The prognosis is for increasing buying pressure on the indices.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
4 March 2020 – Volatility continues, indices popped up
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 9512.05 with a big bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 334.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 30.5.
Dow Industrial closed at 27090.86 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1184.93. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 43.3.
Russell 2000 closed at 1531.1973 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 45.115. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 37.6.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8949.2807 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 357.62. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 47.1.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3130.12 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 127.6. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 44.1.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $47.2 per barrel with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.76. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 36.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1637.7 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 21.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 59.9.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 13.96 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.1897. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 34.3.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 170’24 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.9375. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 72.9.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.12 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 47.4.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.372 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.4749. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 35.7.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1133 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0091. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.
USD/JPY closed at 107.51 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.844. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 34.4.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLY, XLI, XLF and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLY, XLB, XLF, XLI and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Slightly Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 127.38. Vix – 31.99 and Vix Futures – 28.45.
The Week Ahead
The indices rebounded after the previous day selloff. It does look that the market is primed for a recovery although the background story of increasing COVID19 spread in the US might still bring down the market lower. The prognosis is for increasing buying pressure on the indices.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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