26 March 2020 – 2 Trillion approved, 3.4 M unemployed, Indices shot up like a rocket!!
Indices Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 8045.47 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 360.71. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 45.9.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 22552.17 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1394.51. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.5.
Russell 2000 closed at 1180.31929 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 69.954. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 43.1.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7897.1285 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 443.49. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.4.
S&P 500(SPX) gapped up and closed at 2630.07 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 161.45. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.2.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $23.18 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.27. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 25.9.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1639.5 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 61.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 11.46 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.259. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong UpTrend. RSI – 32.7.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’15 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.4687. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Short Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 58.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 76.83 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 3.36. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 44.7.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 99.459 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.7789. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 49.3.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1028 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0133. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 53.4.
USD/JPY closed at 109.62 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.089. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.5.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLV, XLK, XLY, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLB, /ES, XLF and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLV, XLK, XLY, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLB, /ES, XLF and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Bearish. Put/Call ratio is now at 0.939. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 118.97. Vix – 61.00 and Vix Futures – 49.75.
The Week Ahead Market Sentiment is Bearish. Market Breadth is starting to show strength. Skew is trending upwards back to normality. Vix is dropping indicating a drop in volatility. Unemployment claims is now at 3.28 Million. US Senate approves US$ 2 Trillion stimulus. The stockmarket reacted to the money and soared upwards. The indices are still in the bear market and as this is the last day of the week and given bearish sentiment, we can expect the market to close down.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
26 March 2020 – 2 Trillion approved, 3.4 M unemployed, Indices shot up like a rocket!!
Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 8045.47 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 360.71. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 45.9.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 22552.17 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1394.51. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.5.
Russell 2000 closed at 1180.31929 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 69.954. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 43.1.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7897.1285 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 443.49. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.4.
S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 2630.07 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 161.45. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.2.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $23.18 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.27. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 25.9.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1639.5 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 61.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 11.46 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.259. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong UpTrend. RSI – 32.7.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’15 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.4687. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Short Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 58.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 76.83 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 3.36. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 44.7.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 99.459 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.7789. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 49.3.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1028 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0133. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 53.4.
USD/JPY closed at 109.62 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.089. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.5.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLV, XLK, XLY, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLB, /ES, XLF and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLV, XLK, XLY, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLB, /ES, XLF and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Put/Call ratio is now at 0.939. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 118.97. Vix – 61.00 and Vix Futures – 49.75.
The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is Bearish. Market Breadth is starting to show strength. Skew is trending upwards back to normality. Vix is dropping indicating a drop in volatility. Unemployment claims is now at 3.28 Million. US Senate approves US$ 2 Trillion stimulus. The stockmarket reacted to the money and soared upwards. The indices are still in the bear market and as this is the last day of the week and given bearish sentiment, we can expect the market to close down.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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