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Z5 Fri, 24 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 22 May 2024

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Z5 Fri, 10 May 2024

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Z5 Thur, 9 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 8 May 2024

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Z5 Tue, 7 May 2024

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Z5 Mon, 6 May 2024

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Z5 Fri 3 May 2024

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Z5 Thur, 2 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 1 May 2024

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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 April 2024

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12 November 2018 – Apple falls, Indices follow

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10366.51 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 197.48. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Dow Industrial closed at 25387.18 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 648.79. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Russell 2000 closed at 1518.7943 with a big bearish candle pattern below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.45. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6829.098 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 219.77. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

S&P 500 closed at 2726.22 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 59.01. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.86 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 2.6. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1204.5 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 11.4. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.30 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a Squeeze.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.36 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 138’16 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.844. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 83.84 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.6. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias- Bearish.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.642 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.793. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Weekly Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1217 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0118. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

USD/JPY closed at 113.82 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.541. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 0.9923 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0056. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLP, XLB, XLY, XLV, XLF and XLI.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLP, XLB, XLU, XLY, XLV, XLF and XLI respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is rising with more gainers then losers. Volume Accumulation/Distribution is sloping downwards which means the market is in distribution mode. Vix is at 20.45. Vix futures is at 19.15. Skew is at 121.35.

The Week Ahead
Market internals is giving mixed signals. Skew is normal. Vix is above 20 and Vix futures is below 20. It is in backwardation with the expectation that the volatility is short-term. The prognosis is for more volatility.

To YOUR wealth!
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