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1 Feb 2019 – Weekly Review – Indices continue grind upwards


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10123.99 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 349.29. Intermediate Cycle is negative with rising slope. Short term cycle is negative with rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 25063.89 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 869.21. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1502.0545 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 39.63. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6875.5179 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 322.93. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2706.53 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 92.6. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $55.37 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 4.33. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1322.0 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA , 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 34.6. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.  

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 146’01 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.1562. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.68 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.21. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.616 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.822. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1455 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0124. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.       

USD/JPY closed at 109.47 with a high closing doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.247. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.    

6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0083 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0094. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy. It is in a monthly Squeeze.  

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLK, XLE and XLF respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLI, XLF, XLY and XLK respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 126.03. Vix is at 16.14 and Vix futures 17.00.

The Week Ahead
The indices broke upwards and are trending higher. Market internals are strong. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are trending downward. Earnings are coming in hard and fast and so far, Apples, Facebooks and many of the blue chips are doing well. The indices are reflecting that. The prognosis is for the uptrend to continue.  

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.



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