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13 Feb 2019 – Volatile with upward optimism

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10496.97 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 86.28. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Dow Industrial closed at 25543.27 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 200.19. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1542.9432 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 9.4906. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7015.8758 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 52.844. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2753.03 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 17.12. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $53.95 per barrel with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.33. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1309.3 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 13.6. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.58 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1265. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 145’25 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.563. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.  

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.12 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.265. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.203 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.633. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.1259 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0081. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 110.00 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.634. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLP.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLE, XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is rather bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers to losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 127.12. Vix is at 15.65 and Vix Futures is at 16.80.   

The Week Ahead
The indices have paused for the day but the uptrend continues. Trade talks between China and USA is still ongoing and it looks like the US Government shutdown will not repeat SKEW is normal. Vix and Vix future sare now below 15 and 16 respectively.

Oil is in a daily Squeeze and it looks to squeeze upwards. Gold is trading downwards as the Dollar index trades upwards. Bond is also range trading as the indices trend upwards. The prognosis is for a bullish market to continue.

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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