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Z5 Fri, 24 May 2024

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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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6 March 2019 – Is this a pullback or …..?

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10261.16 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 87.6. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25673.46 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 203.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1536.8203 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.62. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7112.4677 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 57.7. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2771.45 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 21.58. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.19 per barrel with a doji candle below its 8EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.98. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1287.1 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 7.5. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.82 with a small candle intertwined between its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.13. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 144’25 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.719. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.30 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.18. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.872 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.21. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.1307 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0038. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 111.75 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.306. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLE, XLK, XLU, XLY, XLI and XLF.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLE, XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is still bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew is at 125.80. Vix is at 14.74 and Vix Futures is at 16.20.  

The Week Ahead 
All the indices have Sell signals now. Bond is headed upwards again. Gold and Oil is sideways and Oil is particularly volatile. Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Internals are weakening. Skew is normal. The prognosis is for the indices to turn downwards.    

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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