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15 March 2019 – ES and NQ marches upwards


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10310.12 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 345.47. Intermediate Cycle is negative with rising slope. Short term cycle is positive with rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 25848.87 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 719.91. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1553.54 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 41.71. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7306.987 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 315.605. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2822.48 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 87.66. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.74 per barrel with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.99. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1302.3 with a spinning top doji candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA , 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 21. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.  

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 146’09 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.4375. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.78 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.83. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.489 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.07. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1327 with a bullish candle on its 200 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0122. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.       

USD/JPY closed at 111.50 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.024. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.    

6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0065 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0187. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.  

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLU, XLV, XLF, XLE and XLB respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLI, XLE, XLF and XLY respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation in lesser and lesser stocks. Skew is at 128.76. Vix is at 12.88 and Vix futures 13.52.

The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market breadth and market volume is showing that more and more buying volume are in less and less gainers. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures continue to trend downward.

The prognosis is continuing uptrend in the NQ and ES but caution is advised that a turnaround is also likely in the near future.

To YOUR wealth!

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