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Z5 Fri, 24 May 2024

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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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26 March 2019 – Range Trading

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10107.41 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 116.68. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25657.73 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 279.46. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1528.1657 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 23.0. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7351.1502 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 102.8847. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2818.46 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.51. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $60.04 per barrel with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.34. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1315.2 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.03 with a small candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.086. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 148’30 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.906. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.02 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.34. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.786 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.27. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.    

EUR/USD closed at 1.1265 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0062. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 110.62 with a bullish marubozu candle on its 8 EMA, below its 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.771. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLE, XLY, XLU and XLP.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLE, XLY and XLI respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew is at 117.80. Vix is at 14.68 and Vix Futures is at 16.05.  

The Week Ahead 
Market Internals are showing weakness. Skew is normal. Vix is below 15 and Vix futures is below 17. We are likely to have an up day in a downtrend. The prognosis is for a downtrend in the indices and selling pressure.

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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