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29 March 2019 – Weekly Review – Uptrend continues


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10407.96 with a bullish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 478.55. Intermediate Cycle is negative with rising slope. Short term cycle is positive with falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 25928.68 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 577.06. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1539.7385 with a bullish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 51.98. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is positive and falling. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7378.7715 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 165.197. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2834.40 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 51.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $60.18 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.56. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1297.0 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA , 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 33.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Buy.  

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 149’24 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.47. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.47 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.88. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.211 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.93. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1216 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0121. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.       

USD/JPY closed at 110.81 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.244. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Sell.    

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLY, XLP and XLE respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLI, XLE and XLY respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 120.96. Vix is at 13.71 and Vix futures 15.30.

The Week Ahead
There was optimism in the market with news of possible closure to the US-China trade deal. Indices closed positive. Market internals are showing strength again. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures have gone down and are below 14 and 16 respectively. The prognosis is for more strength in the indices.

To YOUR wealth!

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