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Z5 Fri, 26 April 2024

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Z5 Mon Easter, 1 April 2024

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Z5 Good Friday, 29 March 2024

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Z5 Thur, 28 March 2024

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Z5 Wed, 27 March 2024

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Z5 Tues, 26 March 2024

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Z5 Mon, 25 March 2024

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12 September 2019 – Tweets, Trade Wars, ECB and volatility

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10713.51 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 125.18. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.9.

Dow Industrial closed at 27182.45 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 201.72. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.3.

Russell 2000 closed at 1575.0656 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.91. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.2.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 7917.3398 with a low closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 87.745. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.7.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 3009.57 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 19.82. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.4.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $55.12 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.34. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 46.3.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1506.8 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 35.4. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 48.7.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and closed at 15.11 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA and below its 8 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.21. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 50.7.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 160’04 with a inverted ‘hammer’ candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.6875. Fractal Chaos Band – Below its FCB Lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 38.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.32 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.18. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.8.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.36 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.91. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 52.8.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1062 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.016. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 49.2.

USD/JPY closed at 108.05 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.662. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.6.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are /ES, XLI, SPY, XLY, SPX, X,P, XLU, XLK, XLF, XLB, XLE and XLV.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are /ES, SPY, XLI, SPX, XLY, XLP, XLK, XLU, XLF, XLB, XLV and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 119.95. Vix – 14.22 and Vix Futures – 14.93.   

The Week Ahead 
Market internals continue to show strength which is good for equities. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are both below 15. Bond futures continue to pullback. The prognosis is for continued rise in the indices.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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