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Z5 Mon, 20 May 2024

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Z5 Thur, 16 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 15 May 2024

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Z5 Fri, 10 May 2024

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Z5 Thur, 9 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 8 May 2024

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Z5 Tue, 7 May 2024

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Z5 Mon, 6 May 2024

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Z5 Fri 3 May 2024

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Z5 Thur, 2 May 2024

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Z5 Wed, 1 May 2024

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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 April 2024

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27 September 2019 – An Uncertain week


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10341.27 with a bearish candle above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA and on its 8 EMA, 21 EMA. Weekly trading range – 235.95. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 49.6. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.    

Dow Industrial closed at 26820.25 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 374.72. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. It is in a monthly Squeeze. RSI – 55.

Russell 2000 closed at 1520.4765 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 47.997. Fractal Chaos Band -Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 48.2.       

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7681.5785 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 246.44. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short cycle – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 52.3.     

S&P 500 closed at 2961.79 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 62.45. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 54.8.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.18 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 4.64. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short cycle – negative and falling. Market direction:- Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 48.4.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1503.3 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 50. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short cycle – negative and falling. Market direction:- Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 67.5.

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 162’07 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.8125. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short cycle – negative and falling. Market direction:- Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 63.1.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.07 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.53. Fractal Chaos Band – Crossed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.9.

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 99.126 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 1.018. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.2.

EUR/USD closed at 1.0942 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.012. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short cycle – negative and falling. Market direction:- Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 37.8.   

USD/JPY closed at 107.92 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 1.225. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.1.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a 1-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLP, XLF, /ES, XLI, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLK, XLY, XLE and XLV respectively.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLU, XLP, /ES, SPX, XLF, SPY, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLV and XLE respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 116.61. Vix is at 17.22 and Vix futures 17.93.

The Week Ahead
A week passed and trade talk news are less important now. Trump is under investigation by Congress seeking impeachment. Market sentiment is now negative and market internals continue to show weakness. As such, the prognosis for the coming week is bearish.

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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