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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 April 2024

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8 October 2019 – Indices carried on downwards!

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 9829.20 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 188.71. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 35.1.

Dow Industrial closed at 26164.04 with a bearish candle above its 200 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 338.22. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 40.7.

Russell 2000 closed at 1472.598 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 25.233. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 37.1.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7604.27 with a bearish marubozu candle above its 200 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 121.37. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 43.1.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2893.06 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 46.13. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 40.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $52.57 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.46. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 37.6.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1510.9 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 23.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 51.4.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.97 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.14. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 43.2.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 164’22 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.6562. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.04 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.32. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 34.4.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 99.115 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.4009. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 56.6.


EUR/USD closed at 1.0954 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0054. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Semi-Strong Upward. RSI – 44.9.

USD/JPY closed at 107.06 with a small bearish candle above its 50 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.631. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 47.8.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLP, /ES, XLK, XLY, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLB and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLP, XLK, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLI, XLF, XLB, XLV and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 118.42. Vix – 20.28 and Vix Futures – 19.75.   

The Week Ahead 
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market internals are showing bearishness. Market Breadth continues to deteriorate and is showing more losers than gainers. Market Volume is showing distribution. Skew is normal. Vix is below 21 and Vix futures is below 20. The US government has added more China companies to the Entity List. Trade negotiation does not look like it is headed for anywhere. The prognosis is for more market volatility and selling pressure.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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