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25 October 2019 – Weekly Review – Indices poised to breakout to new highs!


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10856.41 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 355.51. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.2. The index is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.    

Dow Industrial closed at 26958.06 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 301.03. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. It is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze. RSI – 56.1.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1558.7084 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 27.077. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 53.6.       

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8029.2172 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 188.21. Fractal Chaos Band – Broke above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 61.1.

S&P 500 gapped up and closed at 3022.55 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 41.19. Fractal Chaos Band – Broke above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.9.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.63 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 3.89. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Neutral. Momentum – Weak Downwards. RSI – 50.5.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1507.1 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 36.9. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 65.9.

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’16 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.625. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short cycle – negative and falling. Market direction:- Neutral. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 54.3.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.39 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.34. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 57.9.

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.826 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.7629. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 51.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1082 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.0106. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.6.   

USD/JPY closed at 108.68 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.5289. Fractal Chaos Band – Broke above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.5.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLK, SPX, /ES, XLF, SPY, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLP, XLY and XLE respectively.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLK, SPX, XLF, /ES, SPY, XLU, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLV and XLE respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is rather bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 125.70. Vix is at 12.65 and Vix futures 15.40.

The Week Ahead
The indices are on the verge of breaking to new highs. Bond has been range trading and pulled back as the indices broke upwards. Skew is normal. Market internals continue to show strength. The prognosis is for the indices to continue upwards and the bond to have a bearish bias. .

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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