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Z5 Fri 30 August 2024

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Z5 Wed, 31 July 2024

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Z5 Tue, 30 July 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 July 2024

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28 October 2019 – Bond tumbles, Indices spike on trade hope

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10853.36 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 129.23. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.2.

Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 27090.72 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 209.82. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.8.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1571.9327 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 18.28. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.6.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 8110.67 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 90.52 Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 65.1.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 3039.42 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 21.53. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.3.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $55.74 per barrel with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.34. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 54.8.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1494.8 with a bearish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 8.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.8.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.55 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.13. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.9.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 158’17 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.3437. Fractal Chaos Band – below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 35.4.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.38 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.06. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 61.8.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.741 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.22. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 44.2.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1099 with a bullish candle on its 8 EMA, above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.003. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 55.1.

USD/JPY closed at 108.92 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.39. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 63.6.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLV, XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLK, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLI, XLP, XLB, XLU, XLV, XLY and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 125.26. Vix – 13.11 and Vix Futures – 15.60.   

The Week Ahead 
Market internals continue to show strength. Market sentiment is rather bullish which means the following day, the market tends to trade down thens to be a down day. Skew is normal. Vix is below 14 and Vix futures is below 16. Volatility continues in the earnings season. Bond continued downwarrd. The prognosis is for a volatile market with bullish bias.

To Your Wealth!
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