Indices Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10639.20 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 291.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.1.
Dow Industrial closed at 27186.69 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 204.72. Fractal Chaos Band – crossed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.8.
Russell 2000 closed at 1572.8473 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 15.03. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.9.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8083.1126 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 78.41 Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.2.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 3046.77 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 24.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.3.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.9 per barrel with a bearish candle across its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.31. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 51.2.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1498 with a bullish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, below its 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 16.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 50.8.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.42 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.16. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.3.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’31 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.656. Fractal Chaos Band – below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 44.8.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.11 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.28. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 52.9.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.45 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.557 Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 37.3.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1149 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0071. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 63.7.
USD/JPY closed at 108.82 with a low closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.566. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 57.6.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLF, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLU, XLY and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, SPX, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLI, XLF, XLP, XLB, XLU, XLY and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 129.64. Vix – 12.33 and Vix Futures – 15.05.
The Week Ahead Market internals continue to show strength. Market sentiment is bullish. Skew is normal. Vix is below 13 and Vix futures is below 16. The FED has announced that the interest rate will be reduce by 0.25% and the APAC meeting in Chile will not go ahead. Dow Transportation has pulled back and Russell 2000 shows signs of pulling back. We could be in the early stages of the market pulling back. The prognosis is for a continued volatility in the market with a bullish bias.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
30 October 2019 – Interest rate cut, bond soars
Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10639.20 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 291.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.1.
Dow Industrial closed at 27186.69 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 204.72. Fractal Chaos Band – crossed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.8.
Russell 2000 closed at 1572.8473 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 15.03. Fractal Chaos Band – above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.9.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8083.1126 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 78.41 Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.2.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3046.77 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 24.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.3.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.9 per barrel with a bearish candle across its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.31. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 51.2.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1498 with a bullish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, below its 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 16.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 50.8.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.42 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.16. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 56.3.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’31 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.656. Fractal Chaos Band – below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 44.8.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.11 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.28. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 52.9.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.45 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.557 Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 37.3.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1149 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0071. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 63.7.
USD/JPY closed at 108.82 with a low closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.566. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 57.6.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLF, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLU, XLY and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, SPX, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLI, XLF, XLP, XLB, XLU, XLY and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 129.64. Vix – 12.33 and Vix Futures – 15.05.
The Week Ahead
Market internals continue to show strength. Market sentiment is bullish. Skew is normal. Vix is below 13 and Vix futures is below 16. The FED has announced that the interest rate will be reduce by 0.25% and the APAC meeting in Chile will not go ahead. Dow Transportation has pulled back and Russell 2000 shows signs of pulling back. We could be in the early stages of the market pulling back. The prognosis is for a continued volatility in the market with a bullish bias.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
Share this:
Related