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Z5 Tues, 30 April 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 April 2024

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21 November 2019 – Impeachment hearings, No trade deals

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10681.29 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 84.98. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 46.3.

Dow Industrial closed at 27766.29 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 119.99. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 62.3.

Russell 2000 closed at 1583.9622 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 14.576. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 54.5.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8265.6182 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 41.53. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 62.7.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3103.54 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 15.56. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 65.1.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.33 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.07. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 58.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1464.4 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 40.2. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 40.2.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.62 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong Upward. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 56.5.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’22 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.5312. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 86.36 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.18. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 36.3.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.958 with a bullish candle on its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, below its 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.306. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 49.1.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1057 with a small bearish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA below its 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0044. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 50.1.

USD/JPY closed at 108.61 with a small bullish candle above its 50 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.422. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 50.9.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLF, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLE, XLU and XLY.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLF, XLP, XLI, XLB, XLU, XLY and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 124.87. Vix – 12.78 and Vix Futures – 15.25.   

The Week Ahead 
Market Internals continue to show weakness. Skew is normal. Vix is below 13 and Vix futures is below 16. There is no positive news right now and the indices are pulling back slowly. The prognosis is for continuing selling pressure.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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