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20 February 2020 – Oil and Gold surges

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 11032.96 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 134.46. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.7.

Dow Industrial closed at 29219.98 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 408.8. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 54.

Russell 2000 closed at 1696.069 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 21.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 9627.8301 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 205.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 68.5.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3373.23 with a high closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 48.13. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 62.1.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $53.73 per barrel with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 49.7.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1614.6 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 13.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 69.7.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.84 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 46.3.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 164’03 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.625. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.41 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.38. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 57.8.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 99.879 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.3819. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 77.5.


EUR/USD closed at 1.0782 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0043. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 24.3.

USD/JPY closed at 112.01 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.118. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.8.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, SPX, SPY, XLK, XLU, XLP, /ES, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLP, SPX, SPY, XLK, XLU, XLF, /ES, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 137.12. Vix – 15.56 and Vix Futures – 16.35.   

The Week Ahead 
Skew is normal. Vix has increased to below 16 and Vix futures is below 17. Market Internals are showing strength. Market sentiment is extremely bullish. The US dollar continues to gain against all currencies. Gold and Oil continue to trend upwards. The prognosis is for a volatile market with bullish bias.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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