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18 March 2020 – Bonds, Equities, Currencies crashing market!!!

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 6971.44 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 987.03. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 29.4.

Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 19898.92 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2319.92. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 31.2.

Russell 2000 closed at 991.16411 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 140.2906. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 25.

Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 7175.1761 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 636.4182. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 36.7.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped down and closed at 2398.10 with a big hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 248.67. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 33.3.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $22.89 per barrel with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 7.08. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 20.5.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1487.3 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 73.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 30.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 10.83 with a bearish ‘hammer’ candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.79. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 17.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 170’07 with a bearish ‘rolling pin’ candle above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA and below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA. Daily trading range – 7.4687. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 46.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 72.99 with a bearish ‘rolling pin’ candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 4.45. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 27.6.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 100.914 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.5889. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.7.


EUR/USD closed at 1.0911 with a huge bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0243. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41,2.

USD/JPY closed at 108.06 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.907. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 53.3.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLB, XLK, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLI, /ES, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLU, XLV, XLB, XLK, SPX, SPY, XLY, XLI, /ES, XLF and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Skew – 113.54. Vix – 79.93 and Vix Futures – 74.2.   

The Week Ahead 
The indices continued selling off. Market Internals continue to show bearishness. Vix is at record high and Skew is at record low and below the threshold value of 116. The Put/Call ratio is at 1.256 which is normal and hence the possibility of a bounce tonight is high but could be higher if the Put/Call ratio had been higher at above 1.6. Indices continue to show distribution. Bond and Gold continue to sell off and the US dollar continue to exhibit strength against all currencies. The prognosis is for weakness to continue.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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