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Z5 Fri 30 August 2024

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Z5 Thur, 8 August 2024

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Z5 Wed, 7 August 2024

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Z5 Tue, 6 August 2024

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Z5 Mon, 5 August 2024

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Z5 Fri, 2 August 2024

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Z5 Thur, 1 August 2024

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Z5 Wed, 31 July 2024

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Z5 Tue, 30 July 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 July 2024

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24 March 2020 – A huge bounce

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 7540.80 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 863.43. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 40.

Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 20704.91 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 960.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 38.9.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1096.555 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 94.138. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 36.7.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 7553.8247 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 548.99. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 43.7.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 2447.33 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 212.31. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 39.2.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $24.33 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.07. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 28.8.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1669 with a huge bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 137.56. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong UpwardNeutral. RSI – 53.2.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 11.31 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 29.2.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’23 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.5. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 58.2.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 71.46 with a reverse kicker bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 3.32. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 29.1.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 101.776 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.4189. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.1.


EUR/USD closed at 1.0786 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0168. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.2.

USD/JPY closed at 111.19 with a big doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.631. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.9.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLB, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLI, /ES, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLB, SPX, SPY, XLP, XLI, /ES, XLF and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Put/Call ratio is now at 0.88. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 117.75. Vix – 61.67 and Vix Futures – 46.60.   

The Week Ahead 
Market Sentiment continue to be bearish but the Put/Call ratio is decreasing which means that the market could be turning. Market Internals are showing mix signal. Skew is still low at 117.75. Vix is at 61.67 and remains high. Volatility remains high. The prognosis is the market weakness to remain for a few more weeks the number of unemployment is increasing.

To Your Wealth!
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