Indices Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 7724.87 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 681.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 42.2.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 21200.55 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1481.59. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 41.1.
Russell 2000 closed at 1110.36525 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 70.9572. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 37.8.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7469.6154 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 387.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 42.8.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 2475.56 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 163.89. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 40.3.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $24.31 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 27.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1642.9 with a big bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 84.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.2.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 11.50 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.31. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 29.2.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’12 with a small gravestone doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.4687. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 59.2.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 73.47 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 4.11. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 35.6.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 100.945 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.0679. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.2.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0881 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0133. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 47.1.
USD/JPY closed at 111.19 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.931. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLU, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLF, XLP and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLU, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLF, XLP and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio is now at 0.88. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 117.75. Vix – 61.67 and Vix Futures – 46.60.
The Week Ahead Market Sentiment has turned POSITIVE and the Put/Call ratio is at 0.859. Market Breadth is Rising and Market volume is showing Accumulation. Skew is still low at 116.6. Vix is at 63.95 and remains high. The prognosis is the market to continue to recover while news of the 2 Trillion dollars are awaiting to be approved. Unemployment is increasing in the US due to the current shutdown in some states and this data will be captured in the next earnings report. The prognosis is for short term market recovery but in the intermediate terms, the market is likely to sell off again.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
25 March 2020 – Market Sentiment turns positive
Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 7724.87 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 681.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 42.2.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 21200.55 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1481.59. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 41.1.
Russell 2000 closed at 1110.36525 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 70.9572. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 37.8.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 7469.6154 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 387.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 42.8.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2475.56 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 163.89. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 40.3.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $24.31 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.33. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 27.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1642.9 with a big bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 84.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.2.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 11.50 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.31. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 29.2.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’12 with a small gravestone doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.4687. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 59.2.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 73.47 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 4.11. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 35.6.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 100.945 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.0679. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.2.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0881 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0133. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 47.1.
USD/JPY closed at 111.19 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.931. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLU, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLF, XLP and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLU, XLK, XLI, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLF, XLP and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio is now at 0.88. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 117.75. Vix – 61.67 and Vix Futures – 46.60.
The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment has turned POSITIVE and the Put/Call ratio is at 0.859. Market Breadth is Rising and Market volume is showing Accumulation. Skew is still low at 116.6. Vix is at 63.95 and remains high. The prognosis is the market to continue to recover while news of the 2 Trillion dollars are awaiting to be approved. Unemployment is increasing in the US due to the current shutdown in some states and this data will be captured in the next earnings report. The prognosis is for short term market recovery but in the intermediate terms, the market is likely to sell off again.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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