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27 April 2020 – Indices continue uptrend
Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJT – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YM – UpTrend. /RTY – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ – UpTrend. /ES – UpTrend.
/CL – DownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /GC – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZB – UpTrend and in a Squeeze. $DXY – UpTrend and in a Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.805. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix – 41.38 and Vix Futures – 34.60. Skew – 129.29.
ES, NQ and YM are firmly above their 50 SMA. The Dow Transportation index and Russell 2000 futures are still trying to break the 50 day moving average. Oil (June contract) sold off again on the same fear of lack of storage place in Cushing, Oklahoma. Gold closed lower. Market Sentiment is bullish. Market internals are showing bullishness. Overall, the market is giving bullish signals in the indices. The prognosis is for a Bullish market.
Intermarket Analysis
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $12.93. Daily trading range – 5.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 32.2. It is in a preliminary Squeeze.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1724.2. Daily trading range – 25.8. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 54.7.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 10.50. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 28.9.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 180’11. Daily trading range – 1.8437. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 54.5. It is in a preliminary Squeeze.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 78.64. Daily trading range – 0.61. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 49.2.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 100.053. Daily trading range – 0.486. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 52.8.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0828. Daily trading range – 0.0048. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 44.7.
USD/JPY closed at 107.24. Daily trading range – 0.628. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 44.2.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLP, XLY, XLK, XLB, SPX, SPY, XLU, /ES, XLI, XLE and XLF.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLV, XLP, XLK, SPX, SPY, XLU, /ES, XLB, XLF and XLE.
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